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ARK Predicts SpaceX Could Hit $2.5 Trillion Valuation by 2030

ARK Predicts SpaceX Could Hit $2.5 Trillion Valuation by 2030

ARK predicts SpaceX could reach $2.5T valuation by 2030, driven by Starlink constellation completion and Mars colonization plans. 38% annual returns projected.

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Meng Li
Jun 29, 2025
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ARK Predicts SpaceX Could Hit $2.5 Trillion Valuation by 2030
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If you follow Cathie Wood and her ARK Venture Fund, you've surely noticed those eye-catching top private companies in its investment portfolio. The ARKVX fund has boldly allocated substantial capital to companies that are expected to join the trillion-dollar market cap club within the next decade.

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These forward-looking investments epitomize ARK's innovation philosophy. The largest holding is SpaceX (13.25%), and ARK's open-source model, developed in collaboration with Mach33, provides an in-depth assessment of SpaceX's expected enterprise value in 2030, revealing the aerospace giant's enormous future growth potential.

The open-source SpaceX model developed by ARK and Mach33 shows an expected enterprise value of approximately $2.5 trillion by 2030.

This indicates a compound annual return rate of approximately 38% since the last funding round in December 2024 (valued at $350 billion).

Based on the 75th and 25th percentiles from Monte Carlo simulations, bull and bear case scenario valuations are approximately $3.1 trillion and $1.7 trillion, respectively.

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